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corresponding to each of the seasons. The important distinction is that these processes in (31.9) may be autocorrelated and cross-correlated. Nevertheless, it is only the stationary components which are correlated. Defining the observation and (weakly stationary) disturbance vectors for year n as Υn = (y1n,jumpman 23 jordans, . . . , y
n)′ and Zn = (z1n, . . . , z
n)′ respectively, the vector representation of (31.9) is: ΔΥn = Zn,authentic jordan for sale, n = 1, . . . ,retro jordan for sale, N. (31.10) The disturbances here follow a stationary vector ARMA process Φ(L)Zn = Θ(L)En. (31.11) It is sufficient to note that Φ(L) and Θ(L) are appropriately defined
×
polynomial matrices in L with all roots outside the unit circle and En = (ε1n,authentic real jordans, . . . , ε
n)′. The seasonal difference of (31.7) is converted to a first difference in (31.10) because ΔΥn = Υn . Υn.1 defines an annual (that is, seasonal) difference of the vector Υt. Now, in (31.10) we have a vector ARMA process in ΔΥn, which is a vector ARIMA process in Υn. In the terminology of Engle and Granger (1987), the
processes in the vector Υt cannot be cointegrated if this is the data generating process (DGP). Expressed in a slightly different way, if the process is written in terms of the level Υn, the vector process will contain
unit roots due to the presence of the factor Δ = 1 . L in each of the equations. Therefore,jordan shoes for sale, the implication drawn from the seasonal random walk of (31.1) that any linear combination of the separate seasonal series is itself an I(1) process carries over to this case too. For the purpose of this chapter, only the simple seasonal random walk case will be considered in the subsequent analysis. It should, however, be recognized that the key results extend to more general seasonally integrated processes.SEASONAL NONSTATIONARITY AND NEAR-NONSTATIONARITY 659 2.3 Asymptotic properties Consider the DGP of the seasonal random walk with initial values y.
+s = . . . = y0 = 0. Using the notation of (31.6), the following
independent partial sum processes (PSPs) c
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