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531#
发表于 2013-1-9 16:00:56 | 只看该作者

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发表于 2013-1-9 22:59:38 | 只看该作者

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The United States of AmericaChicago  Board Options Exchange  of Zheng Xueqin of general manager of  the European debt crisis  is more than  the United States of America  financial crisis  more profound  crisis  ,especially  in  emerging countries  .
In  the United States of America  financial crisis,  emerging countries  economic recovery is the  window  ;in  the European debt crisis  ,emerging countries  economic downturn  has become a  real threat  .
However  ,the  emerging countries  especially  China  is still in the  expansion of economic  scale  ,improve the whole social welfare  level  ,the government  may have a  goal  to  a certain  area and certain  key industry  investment  .
The United States of America  financial crisis  can be regarded as  the  periodic economic crises  .That is to say  ,it  only reflect the  economic downturn  phase characteristics  ,just in time,  injection of liquidity  ,economic  able to  repair themselves  .
Until now  ,the United States  government  to  use debt to  repay the debt  policy  ,still  follow this  logic  .The European debt crisis  exposed  is another  kind of structural  crisis  .It reflects  the economy of the developed country  deleveraging  process has entered into the  existing economic  and social  structure  cannot afford  stage  .
The economy can be restored to  the normal cycle  ,the social system and the economic  structure must  be  reformed  .Germany  advocated by  euro-zone finance  integration  ,implementation of  this  reform  is  one of the ways  .
Regardless of  whether the world economy  will  bottom two  emerging countries  ,current  challenges  are unprecedented  ,hollister,so the government  to adopt what kind of  policy on economic  development  has a crucial role in  .
Market economy  emerging  countries  out of  poverty  ,jordan,but  if left unchecked  ,the market economy  will be the first  chase  on the lowest branch  fruit  .On the  cheap labor  and money  does not flow to the  country,  the most direct way  is  to export  .
If the world  economic  crisis  is a structural  rather than cyclical  ,doudoune moncler,so  the  recovery  hopes in the  resumption of exports  ,will be  a strategic mistake  .Although the  American  economy still is in growth  ,but  the  5 children each  have 1  below the poverty line  ,15 families each with  1  should rely on the government  food stamps  to maintain life  ,the unemployment rate is 9%,  with  1/4  insolvent  property  ,hollister outlet.
Before the financial crisis  ,abercrombie,the United States  residents through  two mortgage  from the property  lending  consumption  accounted for  the United States  GDP  11,abercrombie and fitch.5%  (1993-1997  years  is 2.5-3.8%  )  ,this situation is not  likely to  occur  .
Exports to China  ,the United States  will still  is China  main export country  ,but by  China  population  only  1/4  the United States  residents  consumption to stimulate  economic development in China  ,the long run  is not realistic  .
In China,  private enterprises are  too small  ,too weak  ,in the face of  the global  crisis  situations,  economic transition  also  cannot  rely on market forces  to the  emerge of itself and perish of itself  .
In addition to the supervision of  product quality  ,standardize the financial  capital  flow and adjust the  gap between the rich and the poor  ,the government needs to  increase investment  ,especially for the  relatively backward economy  local investment  ,to help achieve the  economic transformation  .
Since the financial crisis,  there have been many  appear wrong  economic theory  .A typical  example is  that  China    caused  the financial crisis in the United States  ,this is  unfounded  .Recently,hollister deutschland,  Professor Shen Xuansong of Princeton University  (  Hyun  Song  Shin  )  according to the bank for International Settlements  data  published a research  report  .
He points out  ,in 2007 before the  outside of the United States  bank  holds 10  trillion  dollar assets  from  the United States  ,European banks  to raise funds  to buy  large  ,then turn the  shadow of America  Bank  loan product  .
As a result of these  capital flows  are in us  forms,  so  some economists  to ignore  .The United States  pension funds holding  assets  in fact  over  China  .Therefore,  emerging countries  to accumulate wealth  is not wrong  ,it is important to  accumulate  wealth  mobilized,  to bring up the  offspring  of welfare services  .
The emerging  national investment  and  development speed is  higher than that of the developed countries  ,the    imbalance  is normal  ,hollister uk.Otherwise  ,emerging countries  are always  emerging countries  ,developed countries  are  developed countries  .
Chinese  economy and  government finance  with  or  fee  Redman  era in the United States  are not the same  .Keynes  advocated by the  government investment  to solve the problem of unemployment,  maintain the social  demand  ,abercrombie france,the goal is to keep the  existing  economic dimensions  .
China  is now  in the  expansion of economic  scale  ,hollister,developing  stage  .Friedman  thought that the government  to compensate for the  expenses of  issuing money  will  lead to inflation  ,China  is in order to  improve the whole social welfare  and  development investment  ,the  government  expanded its  scale  ,the blindness of  social welfare  is not  the same thing  .
Inflation  in emerging  countries,  in  a considerable period of time  is a threat,  one important reason is that  the factor of dollars  .The Fed  had two basic goals  ,one  is to control inflation  ,the two  is the guarantee of  employment  .
As long as  the United States  does not pose a threat  of inflation in the  economy  ,the Fed will  always  take the low  interest rate policy  ,to promote employment  .The United States of America    serious  threat of inflation  from the  wage income  of large area rapid  rise  .
But because the  emerging  labor  price competition  ,the United States of America  wage level  for a long time  not  quickly improve  .Therefore  ,abercrombie,the Federal Reserve  will be in for a long time  to keep interest rates low  or even zero  interest rate policy  ,the value of the dollar  would therefore  have long-term  downward pressure  .
Because the dollar  is the world  commodity  currency  and  commodity prices  ,inflationary threat  will  always exist  .If emerging  countries in order to  hedge against the falling dollar  caused by  the threat of inflation  and  cut government  investment  ,then there will be    balanced  depression    .
If  the current crisis  is not periodic  but structural  ,if the government  policy guidance is  the key to  overcome the present crisis  ,then  to support the economy  should not  just  monetary easing  ,for whole economy  to provide liquidity  (  the validity of this method  in the establishment of economic  able to  repair their own  ideas  )  ,hollister uk.
For the emerging countries  ,the government  may have a  goal  to  a certain  area and certain  key industry  investment  .  disclaimer     this article represents  the views of the author,  has nothing to do  with  hexun.
com  .And the news  website  the  statement  ,the  neutral  ,it  contains the content  the accuracy  ,reliability or integrity of  any  express or implied warranty  .The reader is only for  reference  ,and please to  bear all the  responsibility  .
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发表于 2013-1-9 23:15:12 | 只看该作者
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